Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.327246 0.352648 0.379839 0.411243 0.446673 0.485603 0.531879
2025-01-26 0.279503 0.316971 0.360340 0.414931 0.482812 0.565840 0.677372
2025-02-02 0.255491 0.301685 0.358658 0.435845 0.540637 0.682780 0.899690
2025-02-09 0.231217 0.281127 0.345633 0.438113 0.572894 0.772623 1.115453
2025-02-16 0.208733 0.259237 0.326804 0.427929 0.583796 0.832336 1.305836
2025-02-23 0.194177 0.245806 0.317081 0.428127 0.608779 0.918913 1.579830
2025-03-02 0.180179 0.231485 0.304079 0.420875 0.619531 0.982889 1.840880
2025-03-09 0.167911 0.218373 0.291250 0.411739 0.624755 1.037241 2.111468
2025-03-16 0.157715 0.207338 0.280324 0.404007 0.630632 1.094052 2.426848
2025-03-23 0.152753 0.203509 0.279874 0.413389 0.669638 1.233499 3.105255
2025-03-30 0.145154 0.195127 0.271480 0.407874 0.678346 1.306289 3.640475
2025-04-06 0.135337 0.182759 0.255784 0.387682 0.653738 1.289378 3.807563
2025-04-13 0.126303 0.171446 0.241588 0.369904 0.633929 1.286532 4.083974
2025-04-20 0.122458 0.168058 0.240273 0.376054 0.667868 1.446829 5.497138
2025-04-27 0.121149 0.168560 0.245476 0.395294 0.736419 1.750491 8.963649
2025-05-04 0.117097 0.164381 0.242308 0.397708 0.765818 1.948613 12.954784
2025-05-11 0.111678 0.157649 0.234165 0.389046 0.765438 2.039729 16.631882
2025-05-18 0.108040 0.153633 0.230518 0.389278 0.788741 2.244425 25.720290
2025-05-25 0.103764 0.148319 0.224154 0.383003 0.792972 2.372761 37.243857
2025-06-01 0.099582 0.142954 0.217349 0.375065 0.791005 2.474281 54.185561
2025-06-08 0.095862 0.138195 0.211362 0.368335 0.791390 2.592323 86.888576
2025-06-15 0.094327 0.137068 0.212012 0.376505 0.838986 3.021727 405.524895
2025-06-22 0.091279 0.133187 0.207229 0.371705 0.844778 3.211149 2442.756035